The media today agree it is now inevitable that the general election will take place on 6 May.
I’m not convinced.
It could well be that Brown thinks he’s going to go for the 6th, but when he has to make the announcement in April, he’ll check the opinion polls, and what will the Great Ditherer do if they’re going against him again? Go for the planned date or postpone it for another month in the hope that things will be better then?
I have put good money on a June election, and all the budget date has told me is that the election won’t take place in March or early April.