Predictions for 2014

Fireworks over Edinburgh

Fireworks over Edinburgh, a photo by rjshade on Flickr.
I guess it’s high time to publish my predictions for 2014.

I’ve decided to be a bit bolder again — it’s just too boring to predict the continuation of the status quo again and again! 🙂

However, I won’t predict the outcome of the Scottish independence referendum — I feel too strongly about that event!

Without any further ado, here are my predictions:

  1. In the European Parliament elections, UKIP will become England’s largest party, but they’ll fail to win a seat in Scotland.
  2. The FIFA World Cup in Brazil will be won by Argentina.
  3. The Catalan independence referendum will be blocked by the Spanish authorities, but there will be elections to the Catalan Parliament before the end of the year instead .
  4. Wearable computers will go mainstream, whether in the form of glasses, wrist gadgets or something different.
  5. The Eurovision Song Contest in Copenhagen will be won by Estonia.
  6. The UK will experience at least one quarter of negative growth again.
  7. CO? in the atmosphere will exceed 400 ppm for the first time.
  8. There will be a general election in Denmark (probably because SF decide to leave the government in order to survive as a party).
  9. At least one further nation will plan an independence referendum, emboldened by Scotland and Catalonia.
  10. I’ll get a chance to build an igloo in the garden again.

My predictions for 2013 :-(

Originally uploaded by Paolo Dallorso

Predicting future events is harder than it looks…:

  1. At least one of Scotland’s unionist parties will change their leader. No.
  2. It will finally become possible to obtain dual citizenship in Denmark. No, not yet.
  3. One more country will join Scotland and Catalunya in planning an independence referendum for 2014. No.
  4. The CDU/CSU will continue to be the largest political grouping in the German Bundestag after the election. Yes!
  5. The Eurozone will survive another year (although Greece and Spain in particular will continue to suffer). Yes!
  6. Facebook will continue to be the most popular social networking site. Yes!
  7. The kids won’t get any opportunity to use their sledges or build an igloo in Newton Mearns. Yes. 🙁
  8. England will join Scotland and Denmark in not qualifying for the 2014 FIFA World Cup. No.
  9. Rangers FC will collapse again. No.
  10. The UK won’t win the Eurovision Song Contest in Malmö. Yes!

On paper, my predictions weren’t too bad (the same number of correct and incorrect ones), but the ones I got right were mainly the ones where I predicted a continuation of the status quo.

I must do better next year!