My predictions for 2012 :-(



Sad Face Cone Head Bath
Originally uploaded by Edgar Sousa

I guess it’s time to evaluate my predictions for 2012:

  1. The referendum on Scottish independence won’t take place yet. Right.
  2. SF will leave the Danish government. Wrong, but they changed their leader.
  3. It will again become possible to get a Danish passport in Scotland. Well, not for adults, but small children can now again get it here as far as I know.
  4. The euro will not collapse – all current members will remain inside the Eurozone. Right.
  5. The British inflation rate (measured by CPI) will not fall below 4%. Wrong — it fell as low as 2.2% before rising again.
  6. UEFA 2012 will be won by the Netherlands. Wrong.
  7. After a year with record-breaking levels of rain, Scotland will enjoy its second-warmest year ever. Wrong; Scotland had a very warm March, but not in general a very warm year, and although it has been the wettest year ever in England, Scotland hasn’t been quite as exceptional.
  8. The Icelandic volcano Katla will erupt and cause a new flight ban over Europe. Wrong.
  9. The Russian government will be forced to step down and call fresh elections. Wrong.
  10. The Eurovision Song Contest will be won by Georgia.Wrong.

So, about 2 1/2 out of 10. 🙁

I’m afraid that Troels — who predicted “the negation of each individual statement” — produced a more accurate forecast.

Predictions for 2012



Fireworks
Originally uploaded by bayasaa

After my disastrous predictions for 2011, here are my predictions for 2012:

  1. The referendum on Scottish independence won’t take place yet.
  2. SF will leave the Danish government.
  3. It will again become possible to get a Danish passport in Scotland.
  4. The euro will not collapse – all current members will remain inside the Eurozone.
  5. The British inflation rate (measured by CPI) will not fall below 4%.
  6. UEFA 2012 will be won by the Netherlands.
  7. After a year with record-breaking levels of rain, Scotland will enjoy its second-warmest year ever.
  8. The Icelandic volcano Katla will erupt and cause a new flight ban over Europe.
  9. The Russian government will be forced to step down and call fresh elections.
  10. The Eurovision Song Contest will be won by Georgia.

My predictions for 2011 :-(



Sad Face Cone Head Bath
Originally uploaded by Edgar Sousa

I’m afraid that my predictions for 2011 weren’t that great:

  1. There will be a general election in Denmark. The Social Democrats and SF will form a minority government, which will quickly get into serious trouble trying to carry out their legislative programme. Wrong: After the election, the Social Liberals entered the government, too, and so far they’re managing to govern.
  2. There won’t be a general election in the UK, but the LibDems will get more and more worried about their lack of support in the opinion polls. Not right: Of course there was no election, but the LibDems seem quite relaxed.
  3. In Scotland, Labour will win the election but will be unable to find a coalition partner, so they’ll form a minority government. Wrong: The SNP won a landslide victory and formed a majority government. (I’m actually quite happy about being wrong here!)
  4. The outcome of the AV referendum will be Yes (but it’ll be a narrow victory). Wrong: The outcome was a resounding No.
  5. There’ll be snow on the ground in Scotland for most of the time until the end of March. We’ll then have a warm and sunny early summer, but late summer and autumn will be cold and wet, and we’ll have another white Christmas. Almost right: I got most of the year right, but Christmas wasn’t white.
  6. Facebook will get serious competition, but they won’t be overtaken yet as the default social networking site. Right: Google+ got off to a good start, but didn’t manage to chuck Facebook off the throne.
  7. The best-selling tablet computer towards the end of 2011 won’t be the iPad. Wrong: Although there are more and more competitors, the iPad still rules the tablet market.
  8. Economically, Germany will start pulling the Eurozone out of the slump, but there’ll be more bad news from the US. There won’t be any sovereign defaults (yet). Wrong-ish: Germany was doing OK initially, but then ground to a halt again. The Eurozone is doing worse than a year ago. News from the US are mixed. But at least I was right about the sovereign defaults.
  9. Petrol prices will reach ÂŁ1.50 per litre. Wrong: I think they got as high as ÂŁ1.45, but prices then fell back a bit again.
  10. Neither Denmark nor Scotland will qualify for the 2012 UEFA European Football Championship. Wrong: Denmark managed to qualify, although Scotland didn’t.

I think a lesson to learn from this is not to put so many different predictions into each item – it’s too likely to get half of it right, which makes it pretty hard to assess later.

Endelig forÄr



1st garden breakfast 2011
Originally uploaded by PhylB

Det er nu rart, nÄr vinteren endelig siger helt farvel, og man kan sidde udenfor i solen og spise morgenmad uden overtÞj pÄ.

I Ă„r har vejret virkelig haft travlt i den sidste uge – det er prĂŠcist en uge siden, bĂžrnene byggede Ă„rets sidste snemand.

Nu gĂŠlder det sĂ„ om at fĂ„ smidt nogle frĂž i jorden – hvis det gĂ„r som det sidste par Ă„r, slutter sommeren nok midt i august, sĂ„ der er ingen tid at spilde!

The Danish weather forecast for Newton Mearns

Most people here in Newton Mearns are probably not aware that the Danish Meteorological Institute produces a weather forecast for Newton Mearns.

Unfortunately, it’s in Danish, but it’s really only the days of the week that are likely to cause problems.

I’m not sure whether it’s more or less accurate that the other forecasts out there, but it’s nice they’ve made one for Newton Mearns, rather than BBC Weather’s G77 forecast, which is based on Paisley.

Predictions for 2011

Here are my predictions for 2011:

  1. There will be a general election in Denmark. The Social Democrats and SF will form a minority government, which will quickly get into serious trouble trying to carry out their legislative programme.
  2. There won’t be a general election in the UK, but the LibDems will get more and more worried about their lack of support in the opinion polls.
  3. In Scotland, Labour will win the election but will be unable to find a coalition partner, so they’ll form a minority government.
  4. The outcome of the AV referendum will be Yes (but it’ll be a narrow victory).
  5. There’ll be snow on the ground in Scotland for most of the time until the end of March. We’ll then have a warm and sunny early summer, but late summer and autumn will be cold and wet, and we’ll have another white Christmas.
  6. Facebook will get serious competition, but they won’t be overtaken yet as the default social networking site.
  7. The best-selling tablet computer towards the end of 2011 won’t be the iPad.
  8. Economically, Germany will start pulling the Eurozone out of the slump, but there’ll be more bad news from the US. There won’t be any sovereign defaults (yet).
  9. Petrol prices will reach ÂŁ1.50 per litre.
  10. Neither Denmark nor Scotland will qualify for the 2012 UEFA European Football Championship.

Iglobygning i Skotland



Big igloo
Originally uploaded by PhylB

Da der for en gangs skyld faldt ordentlige mĂŠngder sne i den forgange uge, besluttede jeg mig for at bygge en iglo til bĂžrnene i haven.

Alle danskere har vel i skolen og pÄ TV hÞrt sÄ meget om GrÞnland, at principperne for iglobygning er velkendte.

Phyllis virkede dog ret chokeret, som om det var noget meget eksotisk og mystisk at bygge sig en simpel iglo.

MÄske glemmer danskere nogle gange, hvor meget GrÞnland egentlig fylder i dansk kultur. Jeg burde nok prÞve at skaffe Nissebanden pÄ GrÞnland pÄ DVD, sÄ Léon, Anna og Amaia kan lÊre lidt mere om det store kolde land.